Mark Carney argues that low carbon growth is possible

Mark Carney, Governor Bank Of England, argued that low carbon economic growth is possible. In further testimony he stresses the importance of transition, policy, transparency and risk management while commenting that intangible growth is still important growth.

De-Growth advocates argue decoupling carbon from economic growth is impossible (or extremely hard). Thus degrowth policies may be needed.

(I tend to not be in the de-growth camp, but do think some consumption eg food waste - is wasteful)

The arguments continue to be intense. There is some agreement that brown—>green transition is important regardless of growth stance. Central scenarios point to 3c warming in 2100. Stronger policy + innovation amplified by markets, corporate and consumer behaviour could bring those scenarios down. Complex tipping points, policy failures could swing other way.


Oil CEOs meet to look at targeting carbon scope 3

Bloomberg reports energy CEOs discuss carbon “scope 3” targets. This could be a pivotal change…

“... Targeting Scope 3 emissions would be a big shift for an industry that produces the bulk of the world’s planet-warming emissions, once that could eventually require them to sell far less oil and gas....”

and

“... The talks between the chief executive officers of companies including Royal Dutch Shell Plc, Chevron Corp., Total SA, Saudi Aramco, Equinor ASA and BP Plc showed general agreement on the need to move toward this broader definition, known as Scope 3, the people said, asking not to be named because the session was closed to the press. The executives didn’t take any final decisions....”

Climate, cognitive strengths of Greta, Bill Gates, Chris Hohn

What do the cognitive strengths of Bill Gates, billionaire hedge fund manager, Chris Hohn and Greta Thunberg have in common? You may know they are all in their various ways committing to climate change solutions - they also bear many of the positive cognitive strengths of the autistic spectrum. Those positives are worth noting in the narrative about what autism can be.

This Bloomberg article looks at the climate activism Hohn’s hedge fund is now engaging in.

Thinking about the framework that intellectual and economist Albert Hirschman suggested

Voice, Exit and Loyalty

And the on-going debates between divestment and engagement (and I do both, but think engagement can be more effective), I am glad all three are using Voice too.


Bloomberg article on Chris Hohn here being a “climate radical” (IMHO, he has been involved here for ages (as you can see through his foundation), although maybe only more recently stepped up stronger actions).

My observations on the Bill documentary, which support views that Bill Gates has autistic thinking strengths.

The wiki on Exit, Voice, Loyalty

Brydon Review into UK Audit

"Language matters." so begins the Sir Donald Brydon Review into UK Audit.

In parts touching on the philosophical, Brydon suggests:

"Audit is not broken but it has lost its way and all the actors in the audit process bear some measure of responsibility."

Recommendations:

• A redefinition of audit and its purpose

• The creation of a corporate auditing profession governed by principles

• The introduction of suspicion into the qualities of auditing

•The extension of the concept of auditing to areas beyond financial statements

• Mechanisms to encourage greater engagement of shareholders with audit and auditors

• A change to the language of the opinion given by auditors

• The introduction of a corporate Audit and Assurance Policy, a Resilience Statement and a Public Interest Statement

• Suggestions to BEIS' work on internal controls and clarity on capital maintenance • Greater clarity around the role of the audit committee;

• A package of measures around fraud detection and prevention • Improved auditor communication and transparency

• Obligations to acknowledge external signals of concern • Extension of audit to new areas including Alternative Performance Measures

• The increased use of technology

Brydon quoting Karthik Ramanna  “I know of no better system than market capitalism to sustain liberty and create prosperity – and market capitalism cannot function without a robust audit function. If we do not save auditing, we cannot save capitalism.” 

And on fund managers.... " I was also rather underwhelmed during the Review by the interest in audit shown by some of the portfolio managers with whom I spoke. Few appeared to read the audit report thoroughly and several took the view that it was enough to know whether or not the auditor had given an unmodified opinion."

I do note, I did not speak to Brydon but have tangential advisory interests through being on an advisory group for IASB and for FRC.

Review can be found here.

The Private and External Costs of Germany's Nuclear Phase-Out

NBER Dec 2019. The Private and External Costs of Germany's Nuclear Phase-Out by Stephen JarvisOlivier DeschenesAkshaya Jha.

“Many countries have phased out nuclear electricity production in response to concerns about nuclear waste and the risk of nuclear accidents. This paper examines the impact of the shutdown of roughly half of the nuclear production capacity in Germany after the Fukushima accident in 2011. We use hourly data on power plant operations and a novel machine learning framework to estimate how plants would have operated differently if the phase-out had not occurred. We find that the lost nuclear electricity production due to the phase-out was replaced primarily by coal-fired production and net electricity imports. The social cost of this shift from nuclear to coal is approximately 12 billion dollars per year. Over 70% of this cost comes from the increased mortality risk associated with exposure to the local air pollution emitted when burning fossil fuels. Even the largest estimates of the reduction in the costs associated with nuclear accident risk and waste disposal due to the phase-out are far smaller than 12 billion dollars.”

Paper Here.

Remote Working Apps and start-ups

I’m interested in remote working, comms software, and the rise of enabling software - I’ve kept up with what would be considered incumbents now like Slack, Zapier and I was an early user of Loom. H/T reading Pioneer’s DC Gross - I discovered many more:

“… remote is in vogue and founders are rushing to build all parts of the distributed startup supply chain: Terminal helps generate remote teams, Tandem and There attempt to create a remote “office”, and Loom helps teams share their work over video.

Fueled by this trend, collaboration products continue to be popular. Notion is increasingly the wiki of choice for teams [me: Notion also tries to replace AirTable, which is itself a relative newcomer; as well as Trello and other flow apps] . Coda and Threads are building new hybrid variants of Google Docs, bringing the best of Slack and documents together. Figma remains an ever-popular multiplayer Photoshop [Me: it’s more a of a collaborative design UI than Photoshop to mny mind, but still pretty amazing]

Parts of the stack are owned by incumbents (Slack, Hangouts, Zoom). I’m not certain their position is infinitely stable. Zoom, for example, has a fantastic “molecule moat”: the IP is hard to create. But there’s no tax on switching. It’s just a link you share over Slack. You could imagine a new Zoom getting adopted very quickly if it was better…”

Pioneer run a grants programme/competition much bigger than my own.